Track Record
Every trade logged. Every number real — each trade's return shown individually, every order verifiable on Binance. DC-VWAP strategy on XRP/USDT perpetuals — 3.5× isolated margin — live since Dec 2024, across a single parameter retune in September 2025.
More losing trades than winning ones — by design.
The bot wins only 45.2% of the time, so most individual trades are small losses. The edge is not the hit rate — it is the asymmetry of the wins. The average winner is about 1.6× the average loser, and the biggest wins dwarf the biggest losses (best +95.6% vs worst -21.1% on margin). A ~1% directional-change exit cuts losers fast and lets the occasional big up-swing run, so the rare large wins more than cover the frequent small losses. Profit factor 1.33 — $1.33 earned for every $1.00 lost.
This reproduces, on live capital, the central result of the underlying 542-asset directional-change research: a sub-50% win rate carried by 2–3× winners. The payoff shape — not the frequency of wins — is the strategy.
The bot made money in a falling market.
This period included a −40% XRP flash crash in October 2025 — one of the largest single-asset liquidation events in crypto history — and multiple sustained selloffs through early 2026. The strategy absorbed those drawdowns, recovered, and compounded to a new equity high. Generating positive returns when the underlying asset falls is the definition of alpha.
Equity Curve
Base-100 index. Each trade moves the index by its own margin return — a +10% trade raises it 10%, a −20% trade lowers it 20%. Put differently, $100 given to the bot at inception, with no money taken out, would be $717.41 today. The per-trade returns in the table below are the audited source.
Hover each bar for trade details. Gold = major move (>20%).
XRPUSDT — Full Bot Trade History (4h candles)
▲ 124 Buys▼ 124 Sells
Asset selection. XRP/USDT is our primary alpha pair — it produced the best results across our backtests and optimisation runs. You can request a different asset, but understand this is the configuration we have the most confidence in.
Why only one asset? Finding a reliable edge requires serious compute, time, and patience — backtests, walk-forward validation, parameter optimisation, Monte Carlo simulation, and then a live run to confirm the edge holds in real market conditions. Each asset is its own full cycle. We do one properly rather than many superficially.
Individual client performance is confidential and not shown publicly. The track record above reflects our own trading capital deployed under the same strategy and parameters offered to clients.
Full Trade Log
XRP/USDT perpetuals · 3.5× isolated margin · Binance
Strategy History
First systematic bots deployed on the Dhaka Stock Exchange using browser automation. No broker API, no short selling, 20-year declining market. Bots were profitable. Proof of concept validated.
149 closed trades on XRP/USDT spot (no leverage). Win rate 43%, profit factor 1.57, avg win +4.32%, avg loss −2.08%. Compounded positively across 10 months through bull, bear, and sideways conditions — validating the DC-VWAP edge before scaling to leveraged perpetuals.
DC-VWAP on XRPUSDT perpetuals, 3.5× isolated margin. 83 closed trades through the 2025 rally and the start of the decline. The initial live parameter set.
Same bot, same 3.5× margin — DC/VWAP-EMA thresholds re-optimized once (walk-forward) on Sep 24, 2025, then left untouched. 124 closed trades total across both phases. Win rate 45.2%, profit factor 1.33, Sharpe 1.43. This is the strategy offered to clients.
How Every Number Is Calculated
P&L = (sell_price − buy_price) × quantityReal dollar gain or loss from price movement. Does not double-count leverage. If XRP moves 5% on a $6,000 position, the P&L is $300 — that is what the field records.
Margin = position_size ÷ 3.5With 3.5× isolated margin, roughly one-third of each position is own capital; the rest is borrowed from the exchange. The margin is the actual USDT at risk per trade.
Margin ROI% = P&L ÷ Margin × 100Return on the actual USDT at risk (margin), not the full position size. This is the "Margin %" column in the trade log. The "Price %" column divides by 3.5× to show the unleveraged XRP price move.
index = 100 × ∏(1 + margin_roi_i / 100)A base-100 index where each trade moves the line by its own margin return: a +10% trade raises it 10%, a −20% trade lowers it 20%. Every value comes from the live trade log above; the per-trade returns are the audited figures.
⚠ Past performance is not a predictor of future performance. This is a leveraged strategy and the index is volatile. It reached a peak of 1023.6 and currently sits at 717.4 — anyone who had entered at that peak would be down 29.9% from the high. Returns can and do reverse sharply; you can lose money. Because the strategy takes many small losses to capture fewer large wins, losing streaks are normal and the equity line is choppy — the gains arrive in bursts, not steadily.
Disclaimer: All performance figures are from live trading on real capital. Past performance is not a predictor of future performance. Trading cryptocurrency derivatives with leverage carries a high risk of loss. Major crypto liquidation events and drawdowns are included in the track record. Returns shown include the effect of 3.5× leverage.
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